Korea accurately predicted the outcomes of the presidential
elections in 1987, 1992, 1997, 2007, and 2012, of the local elections in 1995 and 1998, and of the National Assembly election
in 1996. Especially in the 1997 presidential election,
our prediction was recorded as the most accurate
with an error of 0.4%P, which is unprecedented in
the history of election predictions.
Since 1987 when the presidential election was reinstated, there have been six presidential elections and the Gallup Korea’s forecasts have been continuously successful with only 1.8% points deviation in average.
For more insights on the South Korean elections and Gallup Korea’s historic records in the prediction and hit of the six presidential elections please refer to the attached pdf version of the article. Download PDF.